Bettors not worried about Costa Rica’s six-goal bust against USA in FIFA World Cup qualifiers (March 30)

Odds Costa Rica vs United States

Coasts of Costa Rica +260
United States Odds +120
To design +200
More less 1.5 (-190 / +146)
day | Time wednesday | 9:05 p.m. ET
Location San Jose, Costa Rica
How to watch CBS Sports Network | Paramount+ | fuboTV
Updated odds via PointsBet. Keep up to date football odds here.

For those who still fear that the United States Men’s National Team may still manage to qualify for the 2022 FIFA World Cup, know this:

The punters do not share your concern.

Only a loss to Costa Rica by six or more goals on Wednesday would see the Americans fail to seal an automatic spot in their final CONCACAF qualifier.

The likeliest way of that happening – and we use the word “likely” liberally here – is a 6-0 victory for Costa Rica. You can actually bet on this correct score via WynnBET at +40000 odds, as well as FanDuel at +25000 odds.

To be pedantic, yes… Costa Rica could also advance by other margins: 7-1, 8-2, etc… so a bet on 6-0 does not reflect the odds on any scenario that amounts to the Americans finishing in fourth place.

However, good luck finding a book that lets you play Costa Rica at -5.5. goals.

The highest winning margin offered by any US book is a Costa Rica win by four or more goals at +5000 at BetMGM and +7000 at DraftKings.

And while some books allow you to bet a custom line of your own creation – PointsBet is perhaps the most well-known of American bettors – we found none ready to offer a price for Costa Rica at -5.5 goals.

The Action Network contacted PointsBet via email and seven UK bookmakers about possible odds on such a bet.

Three – Betfair, Ladbrokes and William Hill – all said they could not directly honor such a personalized request. The others have not responded at the time of this writing.


CONCACAF World Cup qualifying standings

TEAM REGISTER (WLD) POINTS
Canada 8-1-4 28
United States 7-2-4 25
Mexico 7-2-4 25
Costa Rica 6-3-4 22
Panama 5-5-3 18
El Salvador 2-7-4 ten
Jamaica 1-7-5 8
Honduras 0-9-4 4

Still not convinced that the United States is virtual collateral? It’s perhaps understandable after the stunning defeat in Trinidad and Tobago in 2017 which prevented them from qualifying for the 2018 World Cup in Russia.

Yet of the 232 CONCACAF final round qualifying matches played since the start of the 1998 cycle, only two have been decided by six or more goals.

In the 1998 qualifier, Mexico beat Jamaica in a 6-0 draw. In the 2018 qualifier, the United States beat Honduras by the same scoreline. The two winners were heavy favourites, rather than a modest outsider like Costa Rica in this encounter.

Certainly, Los Ticos have put in impressive qualifying performances at home over the past three decades. However, their two biggest home wins in the final round both ended 4-0, against Trinidad and Tobago in the 2010 round and against the United States at the end of 2016, resulting in the dismissal of former American coach Jurgen Klinsmann.

Yet in 2022 qualifying, Costa Rica have been held scoreless more times (five) than they have scored multiple goals (three) in the process.

And if you think a 6-0 victory in Costa Rica would be just as unlikely as the October 10, 2017 results that doomed the USMNT, bettors will tell you you’re wrong.

It took Trinidad and Tobago’s upset 2-1 win, along with home wins for Honduras over Mexico and Panama over Costa Rica, to send the United States to a fifth-place finish.

According to OddsPortal, Trinidad and Tobago was roughly a +1100 underdog. However, Honduras were a modest +145 favorite and Panama were a stronger one with -130 odds. A bet on those results would have given odds of around +5000, well below the whopping odds of 400-1 bettors at WynnBET are giving on a 6-0 Costa Rica win.

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